This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
32°C or below
$535 Volume
1%
33°C
$277 Volume
1%
34°C
$560 Volume
3%
35°C
$1K Volume
5%
36°C
$1.9K Volume
49%
37°C
$2K Volume
45%
38°C
$328 Volume
6%
39°C
$401 Volume
1%
40°C
$342 Volume
1%
41°C
$201 Volume
1%
42°C or higher
$215 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
No runaway leader here - 36°C at 48% versus 37°C at 44%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
Traders give 36°C a 48% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2 market resolve?
The market runs until 2 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
$90.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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