This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
26°C or below
$3.4K Volume
1%
27°C
$2.4K Volume
1%
28°C
$2.4K Volume
1%
29°C
$891 Volume
1%
30°C
$4.1K Volume
1%
31°C
$12.2K Volume
2%
32°C
$10.2K Volume
5%
33°C
$9.9K Volume
40%
34°C
$13.3K Volume
41%
35°C
$9.5K Volume
16%
36°C or higher
$6.5K Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 24?
The field is wide open: 34°C tops it at just 41%, with 33°C close behind at 39%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 24?
No strong consensus yet: 34°C tops the implied probabilities at just 41%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 24 market resolve?
The market runs until 24 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 24?
$262.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 24 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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