This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
29°C or below
$4.7K Volume
1%
30°C
$5.9K Volume
1%
31°C
$8.2K Volume
1%
32°C
$14.3K Volume
1%
33°C
$7.7K Volume
99%
34°C
$8.1K Volume
1%
35°C
$6.8K Volume
1%
36°C
$4.7K Volume
1%
37°C
$5.4K Volume
1%
38°C
$707 Volume
1%
39°C or higher
$622 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Beijing on August 11?
33°C dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 34°C, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Beijing on August 11?
Traders price 33°C at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Beijing on August 11 market resolve?
Mark 11 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Beijing on August 11?
Total turnover stands at $77.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Beijing on August 11 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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