This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
60%+
$138 Volume
47%
65%+
$892 Volume
33%
70%+
$184 Volume
19%
75%+
$1.4K Volume
10%
80%+
$70 Volume
8%
90%+
$30 Volume
5%
Resolution Source: agi.safe.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
No runaway leader here - 60%+ at 46% versus 65%+ at 31%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Traders give 60%+ a 46% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (161 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Traders have put $2.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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