Belgium vs. Senegal (Resolved)

Belgium faces Senegal in a 2026 FIFA World Cup round-of-32 knockout match on July 1 in Seattle, the first meeting between the sides at a World Cup. Belgium topped Group G with a convincing 5-1 victory over New Zealand on June 26 after earlier draws, showcasing attacking depth and defensive organization. Senegal advanced as one of the best third-placed teams despite group-stage losses to France and Norway, highlighted by a dominant 5-0 win over Iraq that demonstrated clinical finishing from forwards including Sadio Mané and Ismaïla Sarr. Traders price Belgium as the narrow favorite at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting its group leadership and experience, while Senegal’s 25.5% and the 29.5% draw option capture the African side’s pace, set-piece threat, and potential for a counter-attacking upset in a single-elimination setting.