This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify.
Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date.
A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
August 31, 2026
$1.7K Volume
8%
December 31, 2026
$1.7K Volume
88%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by?
The current front-runner is December 31, 2026 at 52%, ahead of August 31, 2026 at 7%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by?
Traders currently imply a 52% chance for December 31, 2026. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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