This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify.
Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date.
A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
August 31, 2026
$245 Volume
37%
December 31, 2026
$688 Volume
58%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by?
The field is wide open: December 31, 2026 tops it at just 38%, with August 31, 2026 close behind at 22%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31, 2026 tops the implied probabilities at just 38%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by?
Total turnover stands at $933. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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