As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is July 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full or conditional approval for MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector as a treatment for edema in adults with chronic heart failure or chronic kidney disease by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An approval is defined as:
For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA)
For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced
For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA)
For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
The following constitute qualifying approvals:
Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
The following do not constitute qualifying approvals:
Approvable letters that require additional actions before approval
Tentative approvals pending patent or exclusivity expiration
FDA requests for additional information or studies
Extension of Prescription Drug User Fee Amendments dates
Approval for compassionate use or expanded access programs only
Approval only for export or for use outside the United States
Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) without full approval
Complete Response Letters (CRLs) indicating the application cannot be approved in its current form
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if the FDA issues a Complete Response Letter (CRL) or explicitly declines to approve the application. If the drug sponsor withdraws the application before the end of the specified period, the market will resolve to "No" immediately.
If the listed drug is approved before the end of the specified period, the market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of potential Advisory Committee votes against approval or later withdrawal of approval.
Conditional approvals may include post-marketing requirements or commitments and still qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?
Yes leads at 79% against 21% for No. That's a clear favorite, but not a done deal - live order-book prices shift with every trade.
What do traders predict for FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?
Traders lean toward Yes, pricing it at 79%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector market resolve?
The market runs until 26 Jul 2026 (17 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?
$211 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.