Geopolitics · Turkey

Erdoğan out by...?

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$50 Volume

31/12/2027 23:59

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December 31, 2026

$662.3K Volume

December 31, 2027

$733 Volume

28%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Erdoğan out by?

The current front-runner is December 31, 2027 at 19%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 1%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Erdoğan out by?

Traders currently imply a 19% chance for December 31, 2027. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Erdoğan out by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2027 (412 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Erdoğan out by?

Total traded volume on this market is $50, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Erdoğan out by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.