Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).
This market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.
If no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pablo Hernández de Cos
$5.2K Volume
85%▲5%
Klaas Knot
$4.8K Volume
12%
Fabio Panetta
$815 Volume
10%
Nadia Calviño
$1.7K Volume
1%
Olli Rehn
$1.5K Volume
1%
Joachim Nagel
$1.3K Volume
<1%
François Villeroy de Galhau
$1.6K Volume
<1%
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Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next ECB President?
The current front-runner is Pablo Hernández de Cos at 85%, ahead of Other at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Next ECB President?
Traders currently imply a 85% chance for Pablo Hernández de Cos. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Next ECB President market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 8 Feb 2027 (85 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Next ECB President?
Total traded volume on this market is $16.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Next ECB President on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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