This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Yes is priced at 12% and No at 88%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 12% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Congress approves Iran deal in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (59 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $13.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Congress approves Iran deal in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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