Mexico Cartel War · mencho

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

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$277.5K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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December 31, 2026

$25.1K Volume

Resolved 3

January 31, 2026

$43.6K Volume

June 30, 2026

$205.1K Volume

July 31, 2026

$3.6K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo announces she is resigning as President of Mexico or otherwise ceases to be President of Mexico for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Claudia Sheinbaum or the Government of Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by?

Yes is priced at 5% and No at 95%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by?

Traders currently imply a 5% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by?

Total traded volume on this market is $277.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.