Politics · New Zealand

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

$2.9K Volume
30/09/2026 00:00
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
Yes is the outsider here at 18%, while No trades at 83%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 18%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Christopher Luxon out by September 30 market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (70 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
Traders have put $2.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Christopher Luxon out by September 30 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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