This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Democratic Party
$2.5K Volume
84%
Republican Party
$4.6K Volume
16%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for CA-22 House Election Winner?
Democratic Party leads the field at 83%, with Republican Party next at 15%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for CA-22 House Election Winner?
The market makes Democratic Party the favorite at 83%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the CA-22 House Election Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026 (105 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on CA-22 House Election Winner?
$7.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade CA-22 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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