Up or Down · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

$268K Volume
12/08/2026 00:00
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams.
Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Resolution Source: data.chain.link

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET?
Up dominates the field at 92%; the nearest challenger, Down, trades at just 9%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET?
With 92% implied for Up, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET market resolve?
Mark 12 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET?
Traders have put $268K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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