Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?

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$216.2K Volume

12/08/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?

It's a genuine race: Down edges the field at 61%, barely ahead of Up at 39%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?

Traders give Down a 61% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12 market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?

Total turnover stands at $216.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.