Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?

View on Polymarket

$203.1K Volume

26/07/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?

Up leads the field at 65%, with Down next at 35%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?

The market makes Up the favorite at 65%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26 market resolve?

Mark 26 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?

Total turnover stands at $203.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.