Bitcoin · Weekly

Bitcoin above ___ on July 12?

View on Polymarket

$1.9M Volume

12/07/2026 16:00

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52,000

$17.7K Volume

99%

54,000

$2K Volume

99%

56,000

$14.8K Volume

99%

58,000

$15.4K Volume

99%

60,000

$10.8K Volume

96%

62,000

$19K Volume

73%

64,000

$10.5K Volume

28%

66,000

$7.6K Volume

68,000

$16.3K Volume

70,000

$9.4K Volume

72,000

$13.6K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin above ___ on July 12?

52,000 dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 54,000, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin above ___ on July 12?

Traders price 52,000 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Bitcoin above ___ on July 12 market resolve?

The market runs until 12 Jul 2026 (4 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin above ___ on July 12?

Traders have put $1.9M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Bitcoin above ___ on July 12 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.