Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
AfD
$4.9K Volume
31%
Grüne
$2.1K Volume
30%
CDU
$4.8K Volume
22%
Linke
$4.3K Volume
17%
SPD
$800 Volume
4%
FDP
$607 Volume
1%
FW
$531 Volume
1%
BSW
$632 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
No runaway leader here - Party A at 50% versus Party B at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
Traders give Party A a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Berlin State Election: 3rd Place market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 20 Sep 2026 (56 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
Total turnover stands at $18.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Berlin State Election: 3rd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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