This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Muller and Mili Poljicak in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Mili Poljicak.
This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Alexandre Muller.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak
ATP
Mili Poljicak76⁴7
Alexandre Muller6³75Final
Game context
Alexandre Muller enters this San Marino Challenger quarterfinal on red clay as the more established player, with a higher ranking, greater career earnings, and proven results on the surface against the younger Croatian Mili Poljicak. Muller advanced comfortably through his round-of-32 match, while Poljicak posted an impressive round-two victory over Nikoloz Basilashvili that boosted his momentum. No prior head-to-head exists between the pair, leaving recent form, clay-court movement, and stamina as key variables in a match that could hinge on Poljicak’s ability to sustain his aggressive baseline game against Muller’s consistency and experience.
Moneyline
$530.2K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$118 Vol.Set Total
$7 Vol.San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Total Sets: O/U 2.5
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Set 2 O/U 8.5
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Set 2 O/U 9.5
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$19 Vol.San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Set 1 O/U 8.5
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Set 1 O/U 9.5
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$22 Vol.San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Match O/U 21.5
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Match O/U 22.5
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Match O/U 23.5
Set Winner
Set Handicap
$156 Vol.San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Set Handicap +/-1.5
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak Total Sets: O/U 2.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 7 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak?
$11.5M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
