National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan

ATP
Fabian Marozsan66
Shintaro Mochizuki43
Final
Game context

Shintaro Mochizuki enters his National Bank Open first-round match against higher-ranked Fabian Marozsan fresh off a career-best Wimbledon run to the round of 16, where he defeated several notable opponents before falling to Jannik Sinner. The 23-year-old Japanese player has since competed on the challenger circuit to maintain match rhythm, including recent activity in Vancouver. Marozsan, currently ranked around 61, holds a significant ranking edge and reached a second ATP semifinal earlier in 2026, but the Hungarian has not played competitively since Wimbledon, creating roughly a month-long layoff. With no prior head-to-head record and both players on hard courts in Montreal, trader focus centers on whether Marozsan’s rest and experience outweigh Mochizuki’s recent form and timing advantage.

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Moneyline
$120.4K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Fabian Marozsan in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Fabian Marozsan.

This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Shintaro Mochizuki.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 8.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan?
Traders have put $16.6M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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