This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Lorenzo Musetti in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Lorenzo Musetti.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Nicolas Mejia.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti
ATP
Lorenzo Musetti76
Nicolas Mejia6⁸2Final
Game context
Lorenzo Musetti enters the National Bank Open second round as the clear favorite against qualifier Nicolas Mejia, reflecting the substantial ranking gap (Musetti at No. 13 versus Mejia at No. 129) and experience in Masters 1000 events. Musetti is returning from a lengthy injury layoff but showed positive signs with a Washington quarterfinal appearance last week, aiming to build momentum ahead of the US Open on outdoor hard courts. Mejia arrives with strong recent form, securing two Challenger titles in 2026 and a comeback main-draw victory over Martin Landaluce in Montreal that marked his first Masters 1000 win. Their first meeting favors the Italian's all-around game and consistency, though Mejia's qualifier confidence and three-set resilience could extend the contest if Musetti's post-injury rhythm falters.
Moneyline
$113.4K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Total
$6 Vol.National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$5 Vol.1st Set Winner
$3.5K Vol.Set Handicap
$5.3K Vol.National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5
Set Total
$30 Vol.National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.5
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$199 Vol.National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.5
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026 (8 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Total turnover stands at $15.6M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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