This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Jacob Fearnley in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 4:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Jacob Fearnley.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Nicolas Mejia.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley
ATP
Jacob Fearnley362
Nicolas Mejia636Final
Game context
Jacob Fearnley holds the ranking edge at approximately world No. 110 against Nicolas Mejia near No. 129 in this first-round Cincinnati Open qualifying match on outdoor hard courts. Fearnley brings recent Masters-level qualifying experience and a higher career peak, while Mejia has logged strong challenger results on similar surfaces this season. Both right-handers are similar in age, height, and build, with no reported injuries or withdrawals affecting the field. The hard-court conditions reward consistent serving and baseline play, areas where Fearnley’s recent form provides a modest advantage in trader consensus for the opener.
Moneyline
$234.7K Vol.Match Completed
$10 Vol.Set Winner
$493 Vol.Set Total
$60 Vol.Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$150 Vol.Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$786 Vol.Set Handicap
$1.1K Vol.Total Games
$513 Vol.Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 21.5
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 22.5
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 23.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley?
Total turnover stands at $9.9M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
