Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel

ATP
Luis Miguel3
Aidan Mayo3
LIVE · S1
Game context

Aidan Mayo and 17-year-old Brazilian Luis Guto Miguel meet in the ATP Challenger Kingston 2 semifinal on outdoor hard courts, a matchup shaped by contrasting profiles and recent momentum. Miguel, the reigning Roland Garros junior champion and junior world No. 1, has surged into his first Challenger semifinal by dropping no sets, including a straight-sets upset of world No. 385 Andrew Fenty, lifting his live ranking nearly 200 spots. Mayo, a 23-year-old former top-269 player with a prior Challenger title, enters on a three-match winning streak at the event but carries a mixed 2026 record after early exits elsewhere. With no prior head-to-head and near-even implied probabilities in trader pricing, the outcome hinges on whether Miguel’s aggressive baseline game and current form can overcome Mayo’s greater professional experience and serve consistency on the fast surface.

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Moneyline
$57.2K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mayo and Luis Guto Miguel in the Kingston 2, originally scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 6:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mayo' if Aidan Mayo advances against Luis Guto Miguel.

This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Aidan Mayo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel?
The current front-runner is Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 90%, ahead of Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel Match O/U 22.5 at 56%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel?
Traders currently imply a 90% chance for Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel Set 1 O/U 8.5. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel?
Total traded volume on this market is $9.7M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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