This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Matteo Arnaldi in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Matteo Arnaldi.
This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Fabian Marozsan.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi
ATP
Matteo Arnaldi4
Fabian Marozsan5LIVE · S1
Game context
Matteo Arnaldi enters the National Bank Open second-round matchup as the higher-ranked player (No. 35) against Fabian Marozsan (No. 61) on outdoor hard courts in Montreal. Arnaldi leads the head-to-head 2-0, both victories on clay, and reached the 2026 French Open semifinals while posting stronger results on faster surfaces this season. Marozsan arrives with momentum after a straight-sets win over Shintaro Mochizuki but holds a 16-18 record for 2026. The hard-court surface and Arnaldi’s recent consistency shape trader consensus around the Italian’s implied probability edge, though Marozsan’s serve and baseline game create realistic upset potential in a best-of-three format.
Moneyline
$222.4K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$1.7K Vol.Set Winner
$88 Vol.Set Total
$12 Vol.National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$44 Vol.National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$104 Vol.National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 21.5
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 22.5
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$75 Vol.National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi?
It's a genuine race: National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 Winner edges the field at 60%, barely ahead of National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner at 59%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi?
Traders give National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 Winner a 60% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi?
Traders have put $16.4M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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