This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Vilius Gaubas in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Vilius Gaubas.
This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Max Houkes.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas
ATP
Vilius Gaubas644
Max Houkes266Final
Game context
Vilius Gaubas enters the first-round ATP Challenger matchup in Hagen as the clear favorite, holding a top-130 ranking with a career high of No. 101 achieved earlier in 2026 after strong Challenger results on clay. The Lithuanian has shown improved consistency and power from the baseline this season, including solid recent form in European events. Max Houkes, ranked outside the top 200, brings experience on the surface and a positive head-to-head record against Gaubas from prior clay encounters, most recently an Alicante win. Both players favor clay, but Gaubas's higher ranking, greater recent match volume, and overall trajectory shape the current market consensus around his advancement chances in this 128-player draw.
Moneyline
$384.9K Vol.Match Completed
Total Games
$95 Vol.Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Match O/U 21.5
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Match O/U 22.5
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Match O/U 23.5
Set Total
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 O/U 8.5
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 O/U 9.5
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$419 Vol.Set Winner
1st Set Total
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set 1 O/U 8.5
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set 1 O/U 9.5
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$6 Vol.Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set Handicap +/-1.5
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas Match O/U 21.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas?
$13.9M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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