This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Mattia Bellucci in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Mattia Bellucci.
This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Sebastian Baez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci
ATP
Mattia Bellucci53
Sebastian Baez76Final
Game context
Sebastian Baez enters the National Bank Open first-round matchup against Mattia Bellucci with a narrow edge in trader pricing, reflecting his higher ranking near No. 48 and improved 2026 hard-court results after a 7-0 start on the surface earlier in the season. The Argentine has posted a 21-17 overall record, including recent wins over Miomir Kecmanovic and Arthur Rinderknech in Toronto, though his last 10 matches show mixed form. Bellucci, ranked around No. 80 with an 8-13 record, brings left-handed variety and recent hard-court experience but has struggled with consistency in 2026 ATP events. The even implied probabilities highlight a competitive early-round clash on outdoor hard courts where both players seek momentum ahead of the U.S. Open swing.
Moneyline
$277.5K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$27 Vol.Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Set 2 O/U 8.5
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Set 2 O/U 9.5
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$23 Vol.Set Handicap
$70 Vol.Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Set Handicap +/-1.5
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Set Handicap +/-1.5
Total Games
$249 Vol.Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Match O/U 21.5
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Match O/U 22.5
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Match O/U 23.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci?
At 99%, Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Set 2 O/U 8.5 has pulled far clear of Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Set 2 Winner (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci?
Traders price Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Set 2 O/U 8.5 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci market resolve?
The market runs until 10 Aug 2026 (6 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci?
Total turnover stands at $13.9M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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