This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Thiago Monteiro in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Thiago Monteiro.
This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Vilius Gaubas.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro
ATP
Thiago Monteiro6⁷6⁵
Vilius Gaubas77Final
Game context
Vilius Gaubas enters the San Marino Challenger matchup as the clear favorite, reflecting his higher ATP ranking near 128 and career-best mark of 101 achieved earlier in 2026, compared to Thiago Monteiro’s position around 303. The 21-year-old Lithuanian has shown stronger recent form with a 6-8 record this season on the main tour and Challenger circuit, while the 32-year-old Brazilian has managed just 0-1 and limited activity. Both players compete on clay, where Gaubas’ baseline consistency and movement often provide an edge against Monteiro’s experience. Any prior head-to-head results and the surface’s demands for endurance further shape trader consensus around the younger player’s advantages, though Monteiro retains upset potential on a given day given his veteran baseline game.
Moneyline
$322.6K Vol.Match Completed
Total Games
$36 Vol.San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 21.5
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 22.5
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 23.5
Set Winner
Set Total
$9 Vol.San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 8.5
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Total Sets: O/U 2.5
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 9.5
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$40 Vol.San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 8.5
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 9.5
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$346 Vol.Set Handicap
$389 Vol.San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set Handicap +/-1.5
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 21.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro market resolve?
Mark 7 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro?
Traders have put $10.6M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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