US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic

ATP
Luka Pavlovic474
Jacob Fearnley66⁴6
Final
Game context

Jacob Fearnley, the No. 4 seed and world No. 100, enters the US Open qualifying second round on outdoor hard courts after a straight-sets win over Roberto Carballes Baena, while Luka Pavlovic, ranked No. 203, advanced via a grueling three-set victory over Juan Pablo Varillas that featured 18 aces but 15 double faults and lasted over three hours. Fearnley holds the higher ranking and stronger recent hard-court results, including solid performances in ATP-level events earlier in the summer, whereas Pavlovic has climbed steadily from outside the top 300 and captured a Challenger title in Segovia. The matchup pits Fearnley’s experience and efficiency against Pavlovic’s powerful but inconsistent serve on a surface where the Briton has compiled a strong record below the main draw. A win advances either player one step closer to the main-draw field.

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Moneyline
$142K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Luka Pavlovic in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Luka Pavlovic.

This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Jacob Fearnley.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic?
The current front-runner is Completed Match at 99%, ahead of US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 99%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for Completed Match. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 2 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic?
Total traded volume on this market is $16.6M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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