This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Adrian Mannarino in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Adrian Mannarino.
This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino
ATP
Adrian Mannarino6³4
Jacob Fearnley76Final
Game context
Jacob Fearnley, the 25-year-old British right-hander ranked No. 110 with a 3-7 record in 2026, meets veteran left-hander Adrian Mannarino in the first round of the National Bank Open on outdoor hard courts in Toronto. Mannarino, ranked No. 47 and a former top-20 player with five career titles, brings greater experience and a 11-19 win-loss mark this season after recent hard-court action in Washington. Fearnley enters after a straight-sets win over Sebastian Ofner, while both players have shown inconsistent recent form on the ATP Tour. Surface familiarity, age-related stamina differences, and head-to-head history (none prior) shape trader views on this matchup, with hard-court consistency often favoring the more seasoned competitor in early-round encounters.
Moneyline
$257K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$124 Vol.National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 2.5
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$168 Vol.Total Games
$2.1K Vol.National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$682 Vol.National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino?
At 99%, National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 has pulled far clear of National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino?
Traders price National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino?
$14.3M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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