Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl

ATP
Liam Draxl644
Daniel Merida Aguilar366
Final
Game context

Daniel Merida Aguilar enters this Canadian Open matchup as the clear favorite, holding a top-65 ATP ranking with a career peak near 59 and stronger recent results on hard courts compared to Liam Draxl. The 21-year-old Spaniard’s improved consistency and higher-level experience give him the edge in this head-to-head. Draxl, a 24-year-old Canadian ranked around 210 with a 2025 career high of 113, draws potential support from the home crowd and familiarity with North American hard-court conditions, though his win-loss record this season remains limited. Key factors include Merida Aguilar’s superior baseline power and recent form versus Draxl’s need to capitalize on any early breaks or serve advantages in what shapes up as a competitive but lopsided encounter.

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Moneyline
$320.9K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Liam Draxl in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Liam Draxl.

This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl?
At 99%, Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl Total Sets: O/U 2.5 has pulled far clear of Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl Match O/U 21.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl?
Traders price Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl?
$14.7M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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