This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Jamie Mackenzie in the Bonn, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Jamie Mackenzie.
This market will resolve to 'Jamie Mackenzie' if Jamie Mackenzie advances against Jan Choinski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie
ATP
Jamie Mackenzie32
Jan Choinski66Final
Game context
Jan Choinski enters the Bonn Challenger final as the clear favorite against wild card Jamie Mackenzie, reflecting a substantial ranking gap with Choinski positioned near the top 85 and Mackenzie outside the top 900. No prior head-to-head exists between the players. Choinski brings greater experience and consistency on the Challenger circuit, while Mackenzie benefits from home-country support in Germany and recent progression to the title match. The match is set for outdoor hard courts under mild conditions, with Choinski favored in the 78-80% implied probability range by trader consensus. Late scratches or form shifts remain the main variables that could alter the outcome.
Moneyline
$126.2K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
Set Winner
Set Total
$224 Vol.Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 2 O/U 8.5
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 2 O/U 9.5
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 2 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$461 Vol.Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Match O/U 21.5
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Match O/U 22.5
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Match O/U 23.5
1st Set Total
$18 Vol.Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 1 O/U 8.5
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 1 O/U 9.5
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$588 Vol.Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set Handicap +/-1.5
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie Set 1 Winner (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie market resolve?
Mark 9 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie?
Traders have put $8.9M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenzie on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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