National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien

ATP
Learner Tien66
Daniel Merida Aguilar32
Final
Game context

Learner Tien enters the National Bank Open quarterfinal in Montreal as the clear market favorite against Daniel Merida Aguilar, reflecting his higher ranking (No. 19, 12th seed) and stronger recent results on hard courts. The 20-year-old American has advanced with straight-set wins over Monfils, Tommy Paul, and Tirante, showcasing consistent form and experience against established players. Merida, a 21-year-old Spaniard ranked No. 63, reached his first Masters 1000 quarterfinal with a dominant run that includes a four-match winning streak and a lopsided victory over Griekspoor, though he faces a significant step up in competition. With no prior head-to-head and both players thriving in the current conditions at IGA Stadium, traders price Tien's edge based on ranking differential, recent match quality, and overall ATP trajectory rather than any single headline injury or scheduling factor.

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Moneyline
$446.9K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Learner Tien.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien market resolve?
The market runs until 18 Aug 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien?
Total turnover stands at $14.6M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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