Arizona Midterm · Governor midterms

Arizona Governor Election Winner

$48.8K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Democrat
$25.6K Volume
78%
Republican
$23.2K Volume
22%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Arizona Governor Election Winner?
Democrat leads the field at 77%, with Republican next at 22%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Arizona Governor Election Winner?
The market makes Democrat the favorite at 77%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Arizona Governor Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (104 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Arizona Governor Election Winner?
Traders have put $48.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Arizona Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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