arizona · Politics

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

View on Polymarket

$125 Volume

03/11/2026 23:59

Trade on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

Traders are split - 57% for Yes versus 44% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.

What do traders predict for Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

Traders give Yes a 57% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.

When does the Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access market resolve?

The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (105 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

Total turnover stands at $125. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.