Politics · Elections

AZ-05 House Election Winner

$20.6K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Republican Party
$14.7K Volume
84%
Democratic Party
$5.9K Volume
18%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for AZ-05 House Election Winner?
The money is on Republican Party at 82%; Democratic Party follows at 17%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for AZ-05 House Election Winner?
The market makes Republican Party the favorite at 82%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the AZ-05 House Election Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 3 Nov 2026 (118 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on AZ-05 House Election Winner?
$20.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade AZ-05 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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