Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
UBJP
$19.5K Volume
70%
BFP
$1.1K Volume
15%
BGC
$265 Volume
4%
BAPA
$244 Volume
9%
MAHARDIKA
$239 Volume
6%
THE ROYALS
$229 Volume
6%
ROHOSUMA
$249 Volume
2%
ROHOSUPA
$222 Volume
8%
Election Postponed/Canceled
$188 Volume
4%
ABOT
$168 Volume
4%
BEST PARTY
$184 Volume
4%
ISAMA
$168 Volume
1%
MORO AKO
$168 Volume
1%
MUSHAWARA
$188 Volume
1%
PBB
$177 Volume
6%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$168 Volume
3%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$194 Volume
1%
C4P
$185 Volume
3%
TPWC
$221 Volume
1%
LBIAA
$185 Volume
1%
RSEU
$223 Volume
6%
RSL
$185 Volume
3%
ISLPI
$194 Volume
8%
DTLO
$168 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner?
UBJP leads the field at 70%, with Other next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner?
The market makes UBJP the favorite at 70%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 14 Sep 2026 (55 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner?
$24.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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