BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13 IRAN-ISRAEL-DIRECT 18¢ +11 ETH-ETF-STAKING 71¢ +3 BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13

Polymarket News & Analysen | Tägliche Marktbeobachtungen

Von Fort Bragg bis Tel Aviv: Die Polymarket-Insider-Trading-Verhaftungen

US-Armee-Soldat angeklagt wegen 410.000$ Gewinn aus Wetten auf die Festnahme von Maduro. Major der israelischen Luftwaffe wegen Handels mit dem Iran-Schlag-Datum angeklagt. Eine Wallet hat einen 7-Mio-$-Ukraine-Markt gekapert. Drei Kongresskandidaten für Wetten auf ihre Rennen mit Geldstrafen belegt.

The Polymarket Ceasefire Resolutions That Both Sides Are Calling Scandals: $203M Iran NO, $20.9M Hezbollah YES

Two big April-2026 Polymarket markets settled in opposite directions despite both arguably violating their own rules: US-Iran extended-by-Apr-22 ($203M, 3 UMA disputes) settled NO; Israel-Hezbollah extended-by-Apr-26 ($20.9M, 2 UMA disputes) settled YES. We verified the gamma API ourselves and walk through every fact.