Polymarketニュース・分析 | 毎日の予測市場インサイト
Investigation
フォート・ブラッグからテルアビブまで:Polymarketインサイダー取引逮捕
米陸軍兵がマドゥロ拘束賭けで41万ドルの利益を得たとして起訴。イスラエル空軍少佐がイラン攻撃日を取引した容疑で起訴。あるウォレットが700万ドルのウクライナ市場を乗っ取り。3名の連邦議会候補者が自身のレースに賭けて罰金。
Investigation
The Polymarket Ceasefire Resolutions That Both Sides Are Calling Scandals: $203M Iran NO, $20.9M Hezbollah YES
Two big April-2026 Polymarket markets settled in opposite directions despite both arguably violating their own rules: US-Iran extended-by-Apr-22 ($203M, 3 UMA disputes) settled NO; Israel-Hezbollah extended-by-Apr-26 ($20.9M, 2 UMA disputes) settled YES. We verified the gamma API ourselves and walk through every fact.
