Asia · Finance

Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

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$80 Volume

30/11/2026 23:59

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above. Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market.

The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.

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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

Yes is the outsider here at 26%, while No trades at 75%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.

What do traders predict for Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 26%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.

When does the Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30 market resolve?

The market runs until 30 Nov 2026 (145 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

Total turnover stands at $80. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.