Asia · Finance

Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

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$251 Volume

30/11/2026 23:59

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above. Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market.

The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.

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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

Yes is priced at 12% and No at 88%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

Traders currently imply a 12% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Nov 2026 (98 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

Total traded volume on this market is $251, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.