AI · Tech

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

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$3.6K Volume

30/09/2026 23:59

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Past

Jul 31 Jun 30 May 31 Apr 30 Mar 31

Sep 30 Aug 31

5-7

68%

8-10

70%

11-13

70%

14+

70%

This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.

Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.

A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.

This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

The current front-runner is 8-10 at 41%, ahead of 11-13 at 41%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

Traders currently imply a 41% chance for 8-10. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Claude go down on __ days in September market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Sep 2026 (35 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

Total traded volume on this market is $3.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Claude go down on __ days in September on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.