This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
anthropic
· Big Tech
· Tech
Will Claude go down on __ days in June?
0-2
$1.1K Volume
1%
6-8
$763 Volume
11%
12+
$782 Volume
30%
3-5
$2.1K Volume
1%
9-11
$639 Volume
39%
About This Market
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Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026
Yes 89¢No 11¢
September 30, 2026
Yes 52¢No 48¢

Claude Mythos released by…?
July 31
Yes 64¢No 36¢
June 30
Yes 22¢No 78¢

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Yes 99¢No 1¢
600B+
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1.8T+
Yes 63¢No 37¢
No IPO by December 31, 2027
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.1T
Yes 97¢No 3¢
↑$1.25T
Yes 88¢No 12¢

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Yes 28¢No 72¢
Yes 26¢No 74¢

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑ $1.1T
Yes 53¢No 47¢
↑ $1.25T
Yes 25¢No 75¢

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
Yes 94¢No 6¢
No IPO by December 31, 2027
Yes 6¢No 94¢