This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that dayโs status box as any color other than green once the dayโs status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this marketโs resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following dayโs status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
Tech
outage
AI
downtime
anthropic
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$725
Time Remaining
8 days left
12+
$15.6K Volume
83%
9-11
$9.1K Volume
11%
3 Options resolved