Crypto Prices · Price Comparison

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

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$449.3K Volume

01/01/2027 05:00

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.

If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.

Analysis & News

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Yes is priced at 25% and No at 75%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Traders currently imply a 25% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Total traded volume on this market is $449.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.