This market will resolve according to United Airlines' consolidated passenger load factor, for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is United Airlines' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
<83%
$119 Volume
9%
83%-84%
$5.2K Volume
17%
84%-85%
$200 Volume
41%
85%-86%
$4.8K Volume
26%
86%+
$35 Volume
14%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor?
Even the leader is cheap - 84%-85% trades at 41%, 85%-86% at 25%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor?
No strong consensus yet: 84%-85% tops the implied probabilities at just 41%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor market resolve?
Mark 15 Jul 2026 (6 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor?
$10.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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