This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.
The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This Polymarket prediction market asks who will be officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as chief executive of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028. Each candidate is a separate Yes or No contract, alongside an outcome for no change.
What the market asks
The market lists more than a hundred names: senior NVIDIA executives, leaders of other technology companies and a few long shots. The contract that resolves to Yes is the one for the first person officially announced as Huang's permanent successor. If nobody is announced by the deadline, the outcome called "Jensen Huang (No Change)" wins. Since only one outcome can be correct, the Yes prices across the list should add up to about 1.
Background
Jensen Huang co-founded NVIDIA in 1993 and led it for more than three decades, through its rise from a graphics chip maker to the central supplier of processors for artificial intelligence and one of the most valuable companies in the world. For years analysts pointed out that the company had no publicly designated successor. Bloomberg wrote in January 2026 that NVIDIA lacked a clear heir, and commentators often named insiders such as Ian Buck, who is credited with creating the CUDA software platform, Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress and sales chief Jay Puri.
The question stopped being theoretical on November 12, 2026. In a filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, NVIDIA said that Huang had resigned as president, chief executive and board member with immediate effect, that Colette Kress had been appointed interim CEO while keeping her role as CFO, and that the board was starting a search for a permanent chief executive that would consider internal and external candidates. The board also named Harvey C. Jones as its first chair. The announcement is available on the SEC website.
What traders watch
- The board's search: any official update on timing, the search firm and the shortlist.
- Internal versus external: whether the board prefers continuity or an outside leader.
- The interim period: how Kress performs, and whether the interim title is made permanent.
- Company events: earnings calls and investor days, where leadership questions are asked directly.
- Credible press reports: leaks about finalists often move prices before any formal statement.
- Executive moves elsewhere: a listed outside candidate leaving a current job is a signal.
How the market resolves
According to the rules, the market resolves to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. The announcement is enough: the contract resolves to Yes even if the announced person never actually takes the job. Interim CEOs do not qualify, so an interim appointment does not settle the market, and an interim chief would count only if officially announced as the successor. If no successor is announced by the deadline, the market resolves to "Jensen Huang (No Change)". The resolution source is public statements from NVIDIA, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read the prices
A price of 0.35 means the market gives that person about a 35% chance of being the announced successor. At the time of writing (November 2026) the highest-priced name was Ian Buck. Prices are not polls and not inside information: they show how traders weigh public signals, and in a succession race they can swing sharply on a single report. Remember that the "No Change" outcome covers one specific scenario, in which no permanent successor is announced before the end of 2028.
