Senate · midterm

First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

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$92 Volume

11/08/2026 23:59

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The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

The market prices Yes at only 29%, with No at 72%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.

What do traders predict for First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 29% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary market resolve?

Mark 11 Aug 2026 (20 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

$92 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.