The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the composition of the next governing coalition is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Romania.
Romania
· Elections
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
PSD
$4.6K Volume
69%
PNL
$5.6K Volume
70%
UDMR
$1.2K Volume
59%
USR
$4.5K Volume
64%
AUR
$8.8K Volume
16%
SOS
$2.3K Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
It's a genuine race: PSD edges the field at 52%, barely ahead of PNL at 46%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
At 52% implied for PSD, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
How much money is trading on Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
Traders have put $27K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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