Sweden · Politics

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

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$12.6K Volume

31/01/2027 23:59

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Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$2.7K Volume

93%

Green Party (MP)

$1.2K Volume

87%

Centre Party (C)

$760 Volume

65%

Left Party (V)

$1.5K Volume

73%

Christian Democrats (KD)

$1.6K Volume

30%

Moderate Party (M)

$45 Volume

78%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$3.3K Volume

10%

Liberals (L)

$1.4K Volume

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$163 Volume

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

The current front-runner is Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 92%, ahead of Green Party (MP) at 82%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Traders currently imply a 92% chance for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S). Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Which parties will be in next Swedish Government market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Jan 2027 (161 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Total traded volume on this market is $12.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Which parties will be in next Swedish Government on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.