Movies · Culture

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

$26.8K Volume
31/12/2026 00:00
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Avengers: Doomsday
$2.5K Volume
86%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$1.8K Volume
10%
Toy Story 5
$1.2K Volume
6%
The Odyssey
$2.2K Volume
4%
Dune: Messiah
$1.5K Volume
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1.7K Volume
1%
Resolved 3
Michael
$8.4K Volume
No
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$4.7K Volume
No
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$2.9K Volume
No

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.

If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
At 85%, Avengers: Doomsday has pulled far clear of Spider-Man: Brand New Day (10%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Traders price Avengers: Doomsday at a 85% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (162 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $26.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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