This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
New Zealand$124.7K Volume
6%▼1%
Germany$130.6K Volume
4%
Greece
$47.3K Volume
3%
Italy
$28.2K Volume
5%
Belgium$80.8K Volume
5%
Finland
$39.2K Volume
5%
Austria$173.5K Volume
4%▼2%
United States$28.4K Volume
5%
The Netherlands
$63.7K Volume
6%
Israel
$589 Volume
2%
Japan$49.5K Volume
2%
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
The current front-runner is New Zealand at 6%, ahead of The Netherlands at 6%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Traders currently imply a 6% chance for New Zealand. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (47 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $45, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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